Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.83 – 53.38

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.6 ±9.3

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 87.51Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 9.44Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 14.88Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.8 ±12.4

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 16.85Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2095Direct Current

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 12.63Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2607, 708, 1168

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2607, 708, 1168

Auto

24.9 22%

Teleop

54.2 48%

Endgame

33.2 30%

Strengths

· 2607 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 427, 486, 2095

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 427, 486, 2095

Auto

4.0 8%

Teleop

34.4 65%

Endgame

14.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.8pts

Blue projected score53.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.5
Score range: 39–126
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 78.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.6Season APEX206.8

24.9Auto4

54.2Teleop34.4

33.2Endgame14.3

59Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	51	8
endgame	51	18
foul	0	10
total	122	52

Result

Final score

122 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 5.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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