Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 49.02
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 33.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 6.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.4Event APEX -12.43Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 0.3Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 16.2Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 29.78Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 3.04Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9027, 11366, 2458
0
/ 100 compatProjected
-5.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9027, 11366, 2458
Auto
13.3 0%
Teleop
-14.7 100%
Endgame
-2.5 64%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10584, 4575, 5684
50
/ 100 compatProjected
49 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10584, 4575, 5684
Auto
10.9 19%
Teleop
28.9 50%
Endgame
18.1 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-5.8pts
Blue projected score49pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 17%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -49
- Score range
- -14–63
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
175.6Season APEX194.3
13.3Auto10.9
-14.7Teleop28.9
-2.5Endgame18.1
38Consistency81
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 27 |
| teleop | 17 | 28 |
| endgame | 1 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 35 | 81 |
Result
Final score
35 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 33.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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