Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.88 – 99.48

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279 ±11.7

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 17.86Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 8.51Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 51.51Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.8 ±8.7

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 71.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -2.46Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

862Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 30.31Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6226, 6808, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6226, 6808, 10979

Auto

25.8 48%

Teleop

14.5 27%

Endgame

13.4 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 272, 321, 862

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 272, 321, 862

Auto

13.0 15%

Teleop

65.3 77%

Endgame

7.0 8%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score99.5pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.6
Score range: 64–113
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 75.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279Season APEX483.8

25.8Auto13

14.5Teleop65.3

13.4Endgame7

16Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	35
teleop	16	83
endgame	21	22
foul	0	0
total	58	140

Result

Final score

58 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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