Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
20.29 – 55.56
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
16 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -1.44Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 0.71Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 21.02Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 21.17Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 1.27Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 33.12Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 321, 7110, 10993
14
/ 100 compatProjected
20.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 321, 7110, 10993
Auto
4.7 25%
Teleop
-0.6 0%
Endgame
14.4 78%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1626, 2458, 486
50
/ 100 compatProjected
55.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1626, 2458, 486
Auto
21.3 37%
Teleop
25.2 44%
Endgame
10.4 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score20.3pts
Blue projected score55.6pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -35.3
- Score range
- 7–69
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
275.9Season APEX198.8
4.7Auto21.3
-0.6Teleop25.2
14.4Endgame10.4
66Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 9 |
| teleop | 0 | 12 |
| endgame | 0 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 16 | 34 |
Result
Final score
16 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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