Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
108.55 – 70.46
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
96 – 32
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 73.01Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 31.02Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64Event APEX 4.52Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 15.14Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 19.49Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 35.83Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 272, 10993, 2458
83
/ 100 compatProjected
108.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 272, 10993, 2458
Auto
10.8 10%
Teleop
74.0 69%
Endgame
22.5 21%
Strengths
- · 272 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6808, 10584, 2095
64
/ 100 compatProjected
70.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6808, 10584, 2095
Auto
13.3 19%
Teleop
47.8 68%
Endgame
9.1 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score108.6pts
Blue projected score70.5pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38.1
- Score range
- 57–122
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
400.9Season APEX175.5
10.8Auto13.3
74Teleop47.8
22.5Endgame9.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 8 |
| teleop | 69 | 15 |
| endgame | 10 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 96 | 32 |
Result
Final score
96 – 32
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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