Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.35 – 20.84

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

104 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.5 ±13

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 12.1Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 73.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2234Alternating Current

Season APEX 96.9Event APEX 8.24Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.8 ±11

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 18.12Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 5.61Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX -2.89Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11366, 2607, 2234

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11366, 2607, 2234

Auto

23.0 25%

Teleop

46.9 51%

Endgame

22.7 25%

Strengths

· 2607 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1168, 2559, 10070

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1168, 2559, 10070

Auto

1.2 5%

Teleop

15.1 66%

Endgame

6.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.4pts

Blue projected score20.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.5
Score range: 8–106
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 70.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.5Season APEX213.8

23Auto1.2

46.9Teleop15.1

22.7Endgame6.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	13
teleop	38	5
endgame	40	18
foul	0	0
total	104	36

Result

Final score

104 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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