Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
194.08 – 221.36
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
196 – 81
Prediction missed · off by 71.1 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 477.2 ±15.8
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 64.21Rank 3Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2656Quasics
Provisional
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 56.81Rank 11Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 148.4Event APEX 73.06Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.9 ±16.9
Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 124.6Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 62.34Rank 15Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
9022MC Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 34.42Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 48, 2656, 3504
87
/ 100 compatProjected
194.1 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 48, 2656, 3504
Auto
26.1 13%
Teleop
106.2 55%
Endgame
61.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 117, 4150, 9022
90
/ 100 compatProjected
221.4 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 117, 4150, 9022
Auto
46.0 21%
Teleop
119.6 54%
Endgame
55.8 25%
Strengths
- · 117 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score194.1pts
Blue projected score221.4pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample44alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -27.3
- Score range
- 172–243
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
477.2Season APEX476.9
26.1Auto46
106.2Teleop119.6
61.7Endgame55.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 22 |
| teleop | 117 | 39 |
| endgame | 45 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 196 | 81 |
Result
Final score
196 – 81
Prediction missed · off by 71.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree