Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.22 – 221.46

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 67.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.1 ±19.7

9475Mon Valley Mammoths

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 24.33Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 53.83Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9653O.V.R.T.

Provisional

Season APEX 85.6Event APEX 4.06Rank 14Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 631.2 ±11.9

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 68.78Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 60.1Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 92.58Rank 3Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9475, 3173, 9653

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9475, 3173, 9653

Auto

31.1 39%

Teleop

41.2 52%

Endgame

6.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8393, 4467, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.5 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8393, 4467, 48

Auto

43.2 20%

Teleop

119.6 55%

Endgame

55.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82.2pts

Blue projected score221.5pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample44alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -139.2
Score range: 55–248
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 147.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.1Season APEX631.2

31.1Auto43.2

41.2Teleop119.6

6.8Endgame55.9

0Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	34
teleop	6	93
endgame	2	24
foul	0	0
total	18	151

Result

Final score

18 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 67.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree