Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.79 – 81.39

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502 ±15.9

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 35.24Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 52.44Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9022MC Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 33.11Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273 ±42

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -18.17Rank 16Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 52.33Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.23Rank 6Record 5-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3173, 8393, 9022

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.8 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3173, 8393, 9022

Auto

59.3 51%

Teleop

41.2 35%

Endgame

15.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 4467, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 4467, 9998

Auto

18.5 22%

Teleop

45.4 55%

Endgame

18.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score120.8pts

Blue projected score81.4pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample44alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.4
Score range: 55–147
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 146.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502Season APEX273

59.3Auto18.5

41.2Teleop45.4

15.9Endgame18.9

44Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	33
teleop	149	63
endgame	58	45
foul	0	0
total	258	141

Result

Final score

258 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree