Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.66 – 58.87

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 459.3 ±16.9

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 110.93Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3504Girls of Steel

Season APEX 148.4Event APEX 86.99Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91

11456UMWACC Ruff Creek RoboMiners

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 21.74Rank 13Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277 ±43

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 66.15Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.9Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9653O.V.R.T.

Provisional

Season APEX 85.6Event APEX -24.18Rank 14Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 117, 3504, 11456

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.7 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 117, 3504, 11456

Auto

43.5 20%

Teleop

119.6 55%

Endgame

55.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 9999, 9653

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 9999, 9653

Auto

30.3 52%

Teleop

25.4 44%

Endgame

2.3 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score219.7pts

Blue projected score58.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample44alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160.8
Score range: 34–245
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 136.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

459.3Season APEX277

43.5Auto30.3

119.6Teleop25.4

55.4Endgame2.3

25Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	18
teleop	132	65
endgame	42	32
foul	0	0
total	224	115

Result

Final score

224 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree