Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.02 – 203.68

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.9 ±19

2656Quasics

Provisional

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 35.68Rank 11Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 34.03Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11456UMWACC Ruff Creek RoboMiners

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 9.31Rank 13Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.1 ±18.2

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 69.47Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3504Girls of Steel

Season APEX 148.4Event APEX 88.58Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9475Mon Valley Mammoths

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 45.63Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2656, 3173, 11456

/ 100 compat

Projected

79 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2656, 3173, 11456

Auto

33.6 43%

Teleop

41.8 53%

Endgame

3.6 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 3504, 9475

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.7 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 3504, 9475

Auto

20.7 10%

Teleop

121.2 59%

Endgame

61.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79pts

Blue projected score203.7pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample44alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.7
Score range: 55–228
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 135.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.9Season APEX435.1

33.6Auto20.7

41.8Teleop121.2

3.6Endgame61.8

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	51
teleop	62	110
endgame	44	26
foul	0	0
total	143	187

Result

Final score

143 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree