Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.78 – 224.88

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.7 ±14.5

4150FRobotics

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 14.96Rank 15Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -9.01Rank 16Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 53.83Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 586.3 ±15.2

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 92.58Rank 3Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9475Mon Valley Mammoths

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 24.33Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 107.97Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4150, 3260, 3173

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4150, 3260, 3173

Auto

15.3 26%

Teleop

33.1 55%

Endgame

11.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 9475, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 9475, 117

Auto

41.6 19%

Teleop

126.7 58%

Endgame

49.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score59.8pts

Blue projected score224.9pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample44alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165.1
Score range: 33–252
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 147.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.7Season APEX586.3

15.3Auto41.6

33.1Teleop126.7

11.6Endgame49.2

46Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	33
teleop	22	164
endgame	0	76
foul	0	0
total	52	273

Result

Final score

52 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree