Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.1 – 242.62

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.3 ±19.8

9653O.V.R.T.

Provisional

Season APEX 85.6Event APEX 45.04Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10513Team Humanity Robo Falcons

Provisional

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 43.43Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 18.63Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.5 ±11.7

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 18.69Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 98.35Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 125.58Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9653, 10513, 5667

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9653, 10513, 5667

Auto

23.3 23%

Teleop

61.6 60%

Endgame

18.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1601, 4027, 9406

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1601, 4027, 9406

Auto

50.5 21%

Teleop

133.3 56%

Endgame

56.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score107.1pts

Blue projected score242.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.5
Score range: 79–271
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.3Season APEX476.5

23.3Auto50.5

61.6Teleop133.3

18.3Endgame56

18Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	48
teleop	36	171
endgame	27	63
foul	0	0
total	86	282

Result

Final score

86 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Match videos

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