Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.97 – 157.53

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216 ±17

2641Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 15.6Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2010The Lightning Bots

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 51.15Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4991Horsepower

Provisional

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX 28.22Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.1 ±16.3

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 102.93Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1816"The Green Machine"

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 21.67Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

63McDowell Robotics Team 63

Provisional

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 32.93Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2641, 2010, 4991

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2641, 2010, 4991

Auto

16.5 17%

Teleop

58.8 62%

Endgame

19.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3173, 1816, 63

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3173, 1816, 63

Auto

14.9 10%

Teleop

100.6 65%

Endgame

39.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95pts

Blue projected score157.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.6
Score range: 68–185
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 150.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216Season APEX379.1

16.5Auto14.9

58.8Teleop100.6

19.6Endgame39.4

32Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	45
teleop	4	99
endgame	10	27
foul	0	0
total	22	171

Result

Final score

22 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.