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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.3780.96

85%15%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193122

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.2 ±19.3
9653O.V.R.T.
Provisional
Season APEX 85.6Event APEX 52.4Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 25.94Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 142.03Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.9 ±17.2
Season APEX 76Event APEX 39.58Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 26.93Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 14.45Rank 46Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9653, 9415, 3990
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
220.4 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 9653, 9415, 3990
Auto
48.4 22%
Teleop
123.0 55%
Endgame
50.3 23%
Strengths
  • · 3990 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1708, 1601, 1317
35
/ 100 compat
Projected
81 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1708, 1601, 1317
Auto
6.4 8%
Teleop
61.2 76%
Endgame
13.2 16%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score220.4pts
Blue projected score81pts
Red win probability85%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
139.4
Score range
54247
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 149.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.2Season APEX239.9
48.4Auto6.4
123Teleop61.2
50.3Endgame13.2
63Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5120
teleop9562
endgame4740
foul00
total193122

Result

Final score

193122

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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