Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
220.37 – 80.96
85%15%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
193 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.2 ±19.3
9653O.V.R.T.
Provisional
Season APEX 85.6Event APEX 52.4Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
9415Westinghouse Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 25.94Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 142.03Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.9 ±17.2
Season APEX 76Event APEX 39.58Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 26.93Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1317Digital Fusion
Provisional
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 14.45Rank 46Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9653, 9415, 3990
83
/ 100 compatProjected
220.4 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 9653, 9415, 3990
Auto
48.4 22%
Teleop
123.0 55%
Endgame
50.3 23%
Strengths
- · 3990 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1708, 1601, 1317
35
/ 100 compatProjected
81 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1708, 1601, 1317
Auto
6.4 8%
Teleop
61.2 76%
Endgame
13.2 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score220.4pts
Blue projected score81pts
Red win probability85%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 139.4
- Score range
- 54–247
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
331.2Season APEX239.9
48.4Auto6.4
123Teleop61.2
50.3Endgame13.2
63Consistency62
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 20 |
| teleop | 95 | 62 |
| endgame | 47 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 193 | 122 |
Result
Final score
193 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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