Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.69 – 99.23

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

67 – 43

Prediction missed · off by 42.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176 ±17.3

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 12.33Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2095Direct Current

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 7.49Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6032Pirate Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 17.87Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.6 ±20.5

451Cat Attack Robotics

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 39.81Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9475Mon Valley Mammoths

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 34.21Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10512Beyond Grad Greyhounds

Provisional

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 25.21Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9642, 2095, 6032

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9642, 2095, 6032

Auto

8.4 25%

Teleop

23.2 69%

Endgame

1.8 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 451, 9475, 10512

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 451, 9475, 10512

Auto

4.7 5%

Teleop

54.3 57%

Endgame

35.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score37.7pts

Blue projected score99.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.5
Score range: 11–126
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 110 vs event baseline 149.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176Season APEX258.6

8.4Auto4.7

23.2Teleop54.3

1.8Endgame35.8

75Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	35	28
endgame	19	0
foul	0	0
total	67	43

Result

Final score

67 – 43

Prediction missed · off by 42.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.