Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.24 – 60.53

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.8 ±15.9

9022MC Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 67.67Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 14.57Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 183Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±20.5

451Cat Attack Robotics

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 37.34Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11456UMWACC Ruff Creek RoboMiners

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 1.46Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

1317Digital Fusion

Provisional

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 21.73Rank 46Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9022, 9642, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9022, 9642, 340

Auto

51.3 20%

Teleop

146.0 56%

Endgame

63.7 24%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 451, 11456, 1317

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.5 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 451, 11456, 1317

Auto

15.0 25%

Teleop

27.2 45%

Endgame

18.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.2pts

Blue projected score60.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.7
Score range: 30–296
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 171.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.8Season APEX195.9

51.3Auto15

146Teleop27.2

63.7Endgame18.2

0Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	12
teleop	138	17
endgame	72	11
foul	0	0
total	253	40

Result

Final score

253 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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