Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.54 – 107.94

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 58.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±20.5

1317Digital Fusion

Provisional

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 7.26Rank 46Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9653O.V.R.T.

Provisional

Season APEX 85.6Event APEX 47.76Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 7.52Rank 21Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±15

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 3.1Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 59.53Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2010The Lightning Bots

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 45.31Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1317, 9653, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1317, 9653, 7515

Auto

18.1 26%

Teleop

35.9 52%

Endgame

15.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5667, 5740, 2010

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5667, 5740, 2010

Auto

33.0 29%

Teleop

71.2 63%

Endgame

8.1 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.5pts

Blue projected score107.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.4
Score range: 36–135
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 149.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.7Season APEX363.7

18.1Auto33

35.9Teleop71.2

15.1Endgame8.1

4Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	18
teleop	45	125
endgame	38	42
foul	5	0
total	103	185

Result

Final score

103 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 58.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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