Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.61 – 223.55

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.9 ±19.8

4991Horsepower

Provisional

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX 35.85Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4150FRobotics

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 31.07Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

11456UMWACC Ruff Creek RoboMiners

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 6.69Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.1 ±16.2

10513Team Humanity Robo Falcons

Provisional

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 53.94Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2095Direct Current

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 17.9Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 151.71Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4991, 4150, 11456

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4991, 4150, 11456

Auto

3.0 4%

Teleop

45.6 66%

Endgame

20.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10513, 2095, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10513, 2095, 3990

Auto

53.1 25%

Teleop

116.1 54%

Endgame

46.9 22%

Strengths

· 3990 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73.6pts

Blue projected score223.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.9
Score range: 48–250
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 146.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.9Season APEX345.1

3Auto53.1

45.6Teleop116.1

20.4Endgame46.9

57Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	59
teleop	24	107
endgame	4	12
foul	0	5
total	39	183

Result

Final score

39 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.