Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.01 – 201.14

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±17.7

1708AMP'D Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 13.94Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8705Sci Tech FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 71Event APEX 18.76Rank 40Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2095Direct Current

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 20.31Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.8 ±15.6

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 45.64Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2656Quasics

Provisional

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 41.27Rank 7Record 7-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 114.23Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1708, 8705, 2095

/ 100 compat

Projected

53 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1708, 8705, 2095

Auto

10.6 27%

Teleop

32.7 83%

Endgame

-3.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5740, 2656, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.1 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5740, 2656, 117

Auto

40.9 21%

Teleop

116.4 59%

Endgame

39.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53pts

Blue projected score201.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.1
Score range: 26–228
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 151.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX531.8

10.6Auto40.9

32.7Teleop116.4

-3.9Endgame39.6

142Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	65
teleop	24	121
endgame	38	58
foul	0	0
total	90	244

Result

Final score

90 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.