Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.71 – 114.41

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

309 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509 ±13

4150FRobotics

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 12.82Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 189.27Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX -3.38Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.1 ±21.4

6032Pirate Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 55.76Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

63McDowell Robotics Team 63

Provisional

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 36.42Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4050Biohazard

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 22.23Rank 48Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4150, 3015, 1601

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4150, 3015, 1601

Auto

54.9 28%

Teleop

93.7 48%

Endgame

48.4 25%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6032, 63, 4050

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6032, 63, 4050

Auto

17.9 16%

Teleop

56.2 50%

Endgame

38.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score198.7pts

Blue projected score114.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.3
Score range: 88–225
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 145.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509Season APEX150.1

54.9Auto17.9

93.7Teleop56.2

48.4Endgame38.4

79Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	8
teleop	205	65
endgame	59	31
foul	0	0
total	309	104

Result

Final score

309 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.