Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.91 – 162.6

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.1 ±15

709Femme Tech Fatale

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 73.78Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 3.53Rank 33Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 1.6Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.6 ±12.2

1816"The Green Machine"

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 45.38Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 109.32Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 7.9Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 709, 2614, 5667

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 709, 2614, 5667

Auto

11.6 17%

Teleop

37.6 56%

Endgame

17.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1816, 9406, 1601

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1816, 9406, 1601

Auto

38.5 24%

Teleop

90.1 56%

Endgame

33.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score78.9pts

Blue projected score162.6pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.7
Score range: 53–189
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 144.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.1Season APEX423.6

11.6Auto38.5

37.6Teleop90.1

17.6Endgame33.5

142Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	25
teleop	6	87
endgame	31	24
foul	0	5
total	71	141

Result

Final score

71 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.