Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 172.22

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

97 – 94

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.2 ±19.8

4991Horsepower

Provisional

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX -0.58Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9415Westinghouse Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX -8.8Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX -22.63Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±20.5

63McDowell Robotics Team 63

Provisional

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 57.61Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9475Mon Valley Mammoths

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 68.74Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 45.87Rank 36Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4991, 9415, 5667

/ 100 compat

Projected

-32 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4991, 9415, 5667

Auto

-11.3 31%

Teleop

-11.6 32%

Endgame

-13.7 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 63, 9475, 3260

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 63, 9475, 3260

Auto

29.8 17%

Teleop

100.4 59%

Endgame

41.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-32pts

Blue projected score172.2pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.2
Score range: -25–197
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 137.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.2Season APEX252.1

-11.3Auto29.8

-11.6Teleop100.4

-13.7Endgame41.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	76	39
endgame	7	27
foul	0	0
total	97	94

Result

Final score

97 – 94

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.