Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.83 – 60.95

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.6 ±15

3484Short Circuit

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 57.83Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 86

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 31.71Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 10.29Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±19

10515Aluminum Tethys

Provisional

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 5.71Rank 49Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 44.95Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4991Horsepower

Provisional

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX 10.29Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3484, 5667, 1601

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3484, 5667, 1601

Auto

17.9 18%

Teleop

55.5 56%

Endgame

26.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10515, 9642, 4991

/ 100 compat

Projected

61 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10515, 9642, 4991

Auto

11.0 18%

Teleop

33.7 56%

Endgame

16.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99.8pts

Blue projected score61pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.9
Score range: 38–123
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 130.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.6Season APEX208

17.9Auto11

55.5Teleop33.7

26.3Endgame16

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	15
teleop	44	3
endgame	10	0
foul	0	15
total	73	33

Result

Final score

73 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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