Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

425.76 – 352.96

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

440 – 395

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 726.1 ±11.9

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 182.34Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3504Girls of Steel

Season APEX 148.4Event APEX 10.62Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 232.8Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.9 ±11.7

2641Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 12.84Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 147.22Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 192.9Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 340, 3504, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 340, 3504, 3015

Auto

93.3 22%

Teleop

232.4 55%

Endgame

97.1 23%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2641, 3990, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

353 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2641, 3990, 4028

Auto

101.2 29%

Teleop

183.6 52%

Endgame

67.6 19%

Strengths

· 4028 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score425.8pts

Blue projected score353pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.8
Score range: 323–456
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 835 vs event baseline 168.8.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

726.1Season APEX538.9

93.3Auto101.2

232.4Teleop183.6

97.1Endgame67.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	125	118
teleop	232	136
endgame	83	141
foul	0	0
total	440	395

Result

Final score

440 – 395

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.