Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

359.64 – 138.66

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

424 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.6 ±9.9

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 134.78Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 31.16Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 193.7Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.7 ±9.8

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 82.94Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 15.14Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 40.58Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 103, 7414, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 103, 7414, 316

Auto

62.6 18%

Teleop

201.8 57%

Endgame

91.2 26%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7587, 2016, 1807

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7587, 2016, 1807

Auto

27.5 21%

Teleop

68.6 53%

Endgame

32.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score359.6pts

Blue projected score138.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 221
Score range: 111–388
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 153.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.6Season APEX389.7

62.6Auto27.5

201.8Teleop68.6

91.2Endgame32.6

0Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	287	63
endgame	109	16
foul	0	15
total	424	113

Result

Final score

424 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.