Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

357.02 – 161.01

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

384 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.6 ±9.9

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 134.08Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 29.89Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 193.05Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.9 ±11.1

1257Parallel Universe

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 58.41Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

834SparTechs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 76.36Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 26.24Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 103, 7414, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

357 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 103, 7414, 316

Auto

60.3 17%

Teleop

207.8 59%

Endgame

83.8 24%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1257, 834, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

161 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1257, 834, 321

Auto

51.3 32%

Teleop

76.1 48%

Endgame

31.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score357pts

Blue projected score161pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 196
Score range: 134–384
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 568 vs event baseline 149.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.6Season APEX273.9

60.3Auto51.3

207.8Teleop76.1

83.8Endgame31.6

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	50
teleop	180	89
endgame	129	45
foul	0	0
total	384	184

Result

Final score

384 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Match videos

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