Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.19 – 81.92

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226 ±12.2

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 12.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1257Parallel Universe

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 70.76Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 36.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.4 ±11.6

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 8.49Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 36.86Rank 34Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 36.57Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 87, 1257, 7587

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 87, 1257, 7587

Auto

32.5 27%

Teleop

55.2 47%

Endgame

31.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4342, 10143, 1712

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4342, 10143, 1712

Auto

14.2 18%

Teleop

42.3 53%

Endgame

24.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.2pts

Blue projected score81.9pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.3
Score range: 55–147
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 150.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226Season APEX201.4

32.5Auto14.2

55.2Teleop42.3

31Endgame24

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	15
teleop	138	17
endgame	51	11
foul	0	5
total	233	48

Result

Final score

233 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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