Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

195.08 – 255.93

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.5 ±12.4

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 147.75Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 48.05Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX -0.72Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.9 ±9.9

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 189.11Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 32.33Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 34.49Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 103, 87, 4637

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 103, 87, 4637

Auto

36.7 19%

Teleop

104.4 55%

Endgame

48.1 25%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 316, 1807, 9100

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 316, 1807, 9100

Auto

55.4 23%

Teleop

137.8 56%

Endgame

52.4 21%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.1pts

Blue projected score255.9pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.8
Score range: 168–283
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.5Season APEX602.9

36.7Auto55.4

104.4Teleop137.8

48.1Endgame52.4

37Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	22
teleop	64	220
endgame	59	120
foul	0	0
total	137	362

Result

Final score

137 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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