Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.74 – 159.75

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.2 ±10.5

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 18.8Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 23.72Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 26.22Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.4 ±9.8

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 73.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 55.15Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 31.28Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4342, 321, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4342, 321, 427

Auto

14.7 22%

Teleop

23.4 34%

Endgame

30.0 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1640, 9027, 10584

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1640, 9027, 10584

Auto

22.4 14%

Teleop

92.9 57%

Endgame

46.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.7pts

Blue projected score159.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91
Score range: 43–186
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 146.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.2Season APEX445.4

14.7Auto22.4

23.4Teleop92.9

30Endgame46.5

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	36
teleop	31	103
endgame	38	40
foul	5	0
total	93	179

Result

Final score

93 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.