Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.72 – 159.4

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.1 ±12.2

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 32.84Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2722Charge Robotics

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 61.5Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 31.38Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.8 ±9.8

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 14.95Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 17.7Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 126.75Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5789, 2722, 87

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5789, 2722, 87

Auto

24.7 20%

Teleop

73.5 60%

Endgame

23.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 427, 1712, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 427, 1712, 2539

Auto

48.1 30%

Teleop

84.3 53%

Endgame

26.7 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.7pts

Blue projected score159.4pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.7
Score range: 100–185
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 144.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.1Season APEX479.8

24.7Auto48.1

73.5Teleop84.3

23.4Endgame26.7

70Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	49
teleop	38	126
endgame	50	61
foul	5	10
total	120	246

Result

Final score

120 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.