Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.93 – 296.26

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 390

Prediction correct · off by 77.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.7 ±11

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 76.47Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 13.7Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 8.76Rank 34Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 706 ±9.3

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 137.87Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 89.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 68.75Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5401, 2016, 10143

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5401, 2016, 10143

Auto

18.9 20%

Teleop

47.5 50%

Endgame

28.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 103, 4285, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 103, 4285, 1640

Auto

52.8 18%

Teleop

167.6 58%

Endgame

68.5 24%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.9pts

Blue projected score296.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -197.3
Score range: 74–321
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 550 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.7Season APEX706

18.9Auto52.8

47.5Teleop167.6

28.7Endgame68.5

60Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	32
teleop	58	291
endgame	44	62
foul	30	5
total	160	390

Result

Final score

160 – 390

Prediction correct · off by 77.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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