Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
164.51 – 101.57
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
242 – 29
Prediction correct · off by 75 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 22.96Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 58.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 83.09Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 66.8Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 9.6Event APEX 13.29Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 21.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 321, 7587, 4285
69
/ 100 compatProjected
164.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 321, 7587, 4285
Auto
29.5 19%
Teleop
78.3 50%
Endgame
47.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1257, 4637, 4750
51
/ 100 compatProjected
101.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1257, 4637, 4750
Auto
30.8 33%
Teleop
53.1 57%
Endgame
8.9 10%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score164.5pts
Blue projected score101.6pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 62.9
- Score range
- 77–190
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
391.1Season APEX103.6
29.5Auto30.8
78.3Teleop53.1
47.8Endgame8.9
5Consistency91
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 28 |
| teleop | 143 | 0 |
| endgame | 74 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 242 | 29 |
Result
Final score
242 – 29
Prediction correct · off by 75 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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