Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.13 – 181.57

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.9 ±11.7

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 60.15Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 22.55Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 24.43Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.7 ±9.9

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 24.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 21.82Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 134.91Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9027, 714, 1712

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9027, 714, 1712

Auto

17.8 17%

Teleop

43.8 41%

Endgame

44.7 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7414, 1807, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7414, 1807, 103

Auto

32.7 19%

Teleop

98.7 58%

Endgame

37.6 22%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.1pts

Blue projected score181.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.4
Score range: 82–207
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 138.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.9Season APEX510.7

17.8Auto32.7

43.8Teleop98.7

44.7Endgame37.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	52
teleop	29	125
endgame	16	47
foul	0	0
total	59	224

Result

Final score

59 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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