Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.09 – 72.31

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

82 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 18.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±12.2

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 26.84Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 22.46Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 16.79Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.5 ±12.2

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 14.35Rank 34Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 38.77Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 19.19Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10584, 714, 9100

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10584, 714, 9100

Auto

11.2 19%

Teleop

21.0 36%

Endgame

26.2 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10143, 87, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10143, 87, 427

Auto

13.4 20%

Teleop

34.1 51%

Endgame

19.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.1pts

Blue projected score72.3pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.2
Score range: 40–98
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 141.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.6Season APEX195.5

11.2Auto13.4

21Teleop34.1

26.2Endgame19.3

38Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	10
teleop	43	32
endgame	32	9
foul	0	0
total	82	51

Result

Final score

82 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 18.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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