Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.58 – 110

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

482 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.2 ±9.3

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 58.75Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 130.61Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 190.22Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.3 ±12.2

8721Code Name M.I.T.

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 24.28Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 79.19Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 6.53Rank 34Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9027, 103, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9027, 103, 316

Auto

63.4 17%

Teleop

218.4 58%

Endgame

93.5 25%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8721, 7587, 10143

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8721, 7587, 10143

Auto

22.9 21%

Teleop

57.2 52%

Endgame

30.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score379.6pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 269.6
Score range: 81–409
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 611 vs event baseline 163.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

687.2Season APEX201.3

63.4Auto22.9

218.4Teleop57.2

93.5Endgame30.2

0Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	27
teleop	268	62
endgame	126	40
foul	0	0
total	482	129

Result

Final score

482 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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