Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.24 – 176.85

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 656.3 ±9.9

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 15.64Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 142.13Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 60.47Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461.1 ±10.5

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 26.99Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8630CAP ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX -30.86Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 180.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9100, 2539, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9100, 2539, 1640

Auto

49.7 23%

Teleop

109.4 50%

Endgame

58.2 27%

Strengths

· 2539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2016, 8630, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2016, 8630, 316

Auto

52.8 30%

Teleop

96.3 55%

Endgame

27.0 15%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.2pts

Blue projected score176.9pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.4
Score range: 152–243
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

656.3Season APEX461.1

49.7Auto52.8

109.4Teleop96.3

58.2Endgame27

43Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	52
teleop	117	78
endgame	32	40
foul	0	10
total	223	180

Result

Final score

223 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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