Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.92 – 342.24

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 469

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.4 ±12.2

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX -24.89Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 35.56Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 25.25Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 781.7 ±9.3

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 63.84Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 157.58Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 120.82Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8704, 7414, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.9 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8704, 7414, 427

Auto

2.8 9%

Teleop

10.0 30%

Endgame

20.1 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4285, 316, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4285, 316, 2539

Auto

77.9 23%

Teleop

194.6 57%

Endgame

69.0 20%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.9pts

Blue projected score342.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -306.3
Score range: 10–368
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 492 vs event baseline 141.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.4Season APEX781.7

2.8Auto77.9

10Teleop194.6

20.1Endgame69

61Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	71
teleop	0	297
endgame	12	101
foul	5	0
total	23	469

Result

Final score

23 – 469

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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