Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

270.98 – 82.9

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.7 ±10.5

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX -4.14Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 151.89Rank 2Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

834SparTechs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 123.23Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.4 ±12.7

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 15.11Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX 13.9Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 53.89Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1712, 103, 834

/ 100 compat

Projected

271 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1712, 103, 834

Auto

31.6 12%

Teleop

181.8 70%

Endgame

47.6 18%

Strengths

· 103 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9100, 4637, 7414

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9100, 4637, 7414

Auto

18.7 22%

Teleop

20.6 24%

Endgame

45.1 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271pts

Blue projected score82.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 188.1
Score range: 58–296
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 140.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462.7Season APEX122.4

31.6Auto18.7

181.8Teleop20.6

47.6Endgame45.1

18Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	13
teleop	162	3
endgame	81	8
foul	0	0
total	310	24

Result

Final score

310 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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