Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.38 – 52.24

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

240 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 74.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 459.2 ±11.2

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 159.59Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 35.17Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 31.62Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329 ±11

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 2.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 22.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 27.12Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 714, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 316, 714, 427

Auto

48.5 22%

Teleop

123.9 55%

Endgame

52.5 23%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4342, 4285, 5401

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4342, 4285, 5401

Auto

5.3 11%

Teleop

47.0 93%

Endgame

-1.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score226.4pts

Blue projected score52.2pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.1
Score range: 27–251
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 138.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

459.2Season APEX329

48.5Auto5.3

123.9Teleop47

52.5Endgame-1.9

89Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	29
teleop	114	92
endgame	65	61
foul	10	5
total	240	187

Result

Final score

240 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 74.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.