Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
142.96 – 49.62
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
106 – 42
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 61.38Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 57.09Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 24.49Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX -16.42Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 32.19Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 33.85Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4575, 7587, 2016
69
/ 100 compatProjected
143 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4575, 7587, 2016
Auto
46.1 32%
Teleop
60.7 43%
Endgame
35.7 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2554, 4750, 321
24
/ 100 compatProjected
49.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2554, 4750, 321
Auto
22.5 47%
Teleop
2.9 6%
Endgame
22.8 47%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score143pts
Blue projected score49.6pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.3
- Score range
- 24–169
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
276.8Season APEX224.7
46.1Auto22.5
60.7Teleop2.9
35.7Endgame22.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 27 |
| teleop | 45 | 8 |
| endgame | 31 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 106 | 42 |
Result
Final score
106 – 42
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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