Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.54 – 63.74

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 707.8 ±9.3

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 11.4Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 145.49Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 67.65Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.7 ±12.4

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 47.49Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8704Void Warranty

Season APEX 24.6Event APEX 3.82Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 12.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1712, 316, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1712, 316, 1640

Auto

52.7 24%

Teleop

113.8 51%

Endgame

57.0 26%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 714, 8704, 1807

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 714, 8704, 1807

Auto

20.6 34%

Teleop

27.4 45%

Endgame

12.8 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.5pts

Blue projected score63.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160.8
Score range: 39–250
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

707.8Season APEX273.7

52.7Auto20.6

113.8Teleop27.4

57Endgame12.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	12
teleop	115	21
endgame	34	0
foul	0	35
total	210	68

Result

Final score

210 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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