Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
59.25 – 79.63
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 10.4 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 14.08Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 27.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 17.74Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367 ±11.2
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 47.81Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 14.08Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 17.74Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 427, 1807, 5490
36
/ 100 compatProjected
59.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 427, 1807, 5490
Auto
17.1 32%
Teleop
36.4 67%
Endgame
0.7 1%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 714, 2590, 2016
49
/ 100 compatProjected
79.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 714, 2590, 2016
Auto
23.7 30%
Teleop
42.1 53%
Endgame
12.9 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score59.3pts
Blue projected score79.6pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -20.4
- Score range
- 32–107
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
327.1Season APEX367
17.1Auto23.7
36.4Teleop42.1
0.7Endgame12.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 16 |
| teleop | 34 | 45 |
| endgame | 10 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 56 | 62 |
Result
Final score
56 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 10.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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