Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
132.15 – 107.81
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
261 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 81.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 305.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 21.42Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 45.11Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 65.62Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -3.74Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 54.63Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 56.92Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6343, 2990, 7034
61
/ 100 compatProjected
132.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6343, 2990, 7034
Auto
23.8 18%
Teleop
73.3 55%
Endgame
35.8 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10444, 1595, 4513
52
/ 100 compatProjected
107.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10444, 1595, 4513
Auto
26.3 25%
Teleop
68.1 64%
Endgame
12.8 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score132.2pts
Blue projected score107.8pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 24.3
- Score range
- 84–156
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
305.8Season APEX201.2
23.8Auto26.3
73.3Teleop68.1
35.8Endgame12.8
5Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 18 |
| teleop | 156 | 40 |
| endgame | 54 | 16 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 261 | 74 |
Result
Final score
261 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 81.3 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.