Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.93 – 140.88

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.1 ±12.1

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 6.25Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9600X-Flare Robotics

Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 18.57Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

847PHRED

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX -12.89Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350.4 ±11

4513Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 40.4Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1595The Dragons

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 28.04Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 72.44Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5970, 9600, 847

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5970, 9600, 847

Auto

3.5 40%

Teleop

1.4 16%

Endgame

3.8 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4513, 1595, 2471

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4513, 1595, 2471

Auto

16.0 12%

Teleop

94.1 68%

Endgame

28.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.9pts

Blue projected score140.9pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.9
Score range: -11–164
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 127.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246.1Season APEX350.4

3.5Auto16

1.4Teleop94.1

3.8Endgame28.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	57
teleop	17	89
endgame	2	0
foul	15	10
total	42	156

Result

Final score

42 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.