Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.07 – 34.29

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

267 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 112.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541 ±10.8

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 61.43Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 17.21Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 77.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.3 ±11.1

6343Steel Ridge

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 14.29Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 5.14Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 14.86Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1425, 6831, 1540

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1425, 6831, 1540

Auto

31.4 21%

Teleop

90.3 60%

Endgame

29.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6343, 6696, 3673

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6343, 6696, 3673

Auto

10.3 31%

Teleop

16.6 50%

Endgame

6.0 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.1pts

Blue projected score34.3pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.8
Score range: 12–178
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 119.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541Season APEX281.3

31.4Auto10.3

90.3Teleop16.6

29.3Endgame6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	28
teleop	125	46
endgame	63	65
foul	5	10
total	267	149

Result

Final score

267 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 112.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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