Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

155.61 – 183.44

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

167 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 371.4 ±11

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 76.75Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4043NerdHerd

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 28.24Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4488Shockwave

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 50.62Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.4 ±11

2898Flying Hedgehogs

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 32.22Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2374Jesuit Robotics

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 62.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 88.99Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 957, 4043, 4488

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 4043, 4488

Auto

27.3 17%

Teleop

89.2 57%

Endgame

39.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2898, 2374, 2471

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2898, 2374, 2471

Auto

36.9 21%

Teleop

92.8 53%

Endgame

44.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score155.6pts

Blue projected score183.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.8
Score range: 130–209
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 142.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

371.4Season APEX390.4

27.3Auto36.9

89.2Teleop92.8

39.8Endgame44.1

18Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	32
teleop	102	124
endgame	33	82
foul	0	15
total	167	253

Result

Final score

167 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.