Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.62 – 156.77

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.6 ±11.6

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 16.15Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 10.47Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288 ±11.6

4043NerdHerd

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 23.67Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 127.95Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9613Lion's Byte

Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 5.15Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3673, 3636, 3663

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3673, 3636, 3663

Auto

11.8 12%

Teleop

54.0 54%

Endgame

34.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4043, 1425, 9613

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4043, 1425, 9613

Auto

33.4 21%

Teleop

80.6 52%

Endgame

42.3 27%

Strengths

· 1425 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.6pts

Blue projected score156.8pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.1
Score range: 78–181
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 181 vs event baseline 130.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.6Season APEX288

11.8Auto33.4

54Teleop80.6

34Endgame42.3

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	42
teleop	9	43
endgame	29	28
foul	5	5
total	63	118

Result

Final score

63 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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