Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.76 – 111.57

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.8 ±9.8

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 85.13Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2374Jesuit Robotics

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 79.68Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1595The Dragons

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 67.95Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.8 ±11.6

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 93.39Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 6.99Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 11.19Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5937, 2374, 1595

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5937, 2374, 1595

Auto

39.9 18%

Teleop

138.3 62%

Endgame

44.2 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 957, 3574, 3636

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 3574, 3636

Auto

25.0 24%

Teleop

52.2 49%

Endgame

28.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.8pts

Blue projected score111.6pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.2
Score range: 88–257
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 130.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.8Season APEX240.8

39.9Auto25

138.3Teleop52.2

44.2Endgame28.9

20Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	31
teleop	88	43
endgame	22	36
foul	0	0
total	123	110

Result

Final score

123 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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