Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
176.96 – 99.12
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
79 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 49.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 7.91Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 105.27Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 63.78Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.4 ±12.1
Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 1.19Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 55.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 42.5Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4662, 6696, 2990
74
/ 100 compatProjected
177 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4662, 6696, 2990
Auto
26.6 16%
Teleop
97.1 59%
Endgame
40.1 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9600, 4513, 2898
47
/ 100 compatProjected
99.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9600, 4513, 2898
Auto
12.0 13%
Teleop
63.6 67%
Endgame
19.4 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score177pts
Blue projected score99.1pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.8
- Score range
- 75–201
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
391.2Season APEX275.4
26.6Auto12
97.1Teleop63.6
40.1Endgame19.4
0Consistency30
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 17 |
| teleop | 28 | 55 |
| endgame | 0 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 79 | 101 |
Result
Final score
79 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 49.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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